The Yield Curve Valuation Indicator
The Yield Curve Model: Very High Risk Chart shows spread between 10-year and 3-mo Treasury debt relative to # of standard deviations from historical norm. Recession periods are shaded. Summary:When short term (3-month) Treasury yields are higher than long term (10-year) yields, it is a bearish signal that is almost always followed by economic recession.
Yield Curve Gets Jiggy with the Unemployment Rate
REMEMBER: #1 – CHARTS ARE THE FOOT PRINT OF MONEY!#2 – TO PROFIT, you need to be where money is going, instead of chasing the market! With that said … The chart above illustrates that the unemployment rate tends to peak when the yield curve spread is between 2.4-4%. Currently, the yield-curve is inverted, signaling a lot of […]
Yield Curve Inversions Lead To Recessions
Yield curve inversions have been shown to lead to recessions. Why should this time be different?
Is The 10/2 Gonna Kick Your A$$ ?
Curlycertainly Curlythreestooges GIFfrom Curlycertainly GIFs Unwinding the 10-2 ALWAYS seems to bite us in the 6! John Doe Tweet Unwinding The 10-2 Usually Bites You On Your 6! History proves to us that it is only been a matter of time! A forward leading indicator such as the unwinding of the 10/2 yield curve has […]